Selasa, 31 Desember 2019

The Bull Market Is Charging Into 2020 - Wall Street Journal

Stocks around the world are set to close out one of their best years over the past decade, defying money managers who began 2019 expecting threats from the U.S.-China trade fight to slowing growth to upend the bull market.

Just 12 months ago, the mood was far dimmer. The global economy was weakening; stocks, bonds and commodities were falling in tandem; and money managers worried the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate increases would turn an economic slowdown into a protracted downturn.

Fast forward to the final day of the decade, and stock indexes from the U.S. to Brazil to Germany are up more than 20% apiece for the year. While prior such runs have been met by skepticism, this time, few see the rally ending soon.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s more than 170% rise from 2010 to 2020 ranks as just the fourth-best decadelong performance in the past 100 years—a gain that, while respectable, doesn’t conjure the fear of excess that rallies in the 80s and 90s did. Many investment banks are forecasting solid, if modest gains for the coming year, citing major central banks’ easy-money policies, a resilient U.S. economy and a breakthrough in trade talks between Washington and Beijing.

BMO Capital Markets and Goldman Sachs estimate the S&P 500 will end 2020 at 3400, about 6% above where the index closed Monday, while Citigroup and Bank of America have put their target at 3300.

On the final trading day of the year, the S&P 500 edged down 0.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3%. All three indexes are up more than 20% for the year.

The Stoxx Europe 600 hovered near its all-time high and was on course for its biggest one-year gain since 2009, while in Asia, the Shanghai Composite finished the year up 22% for its best showing since 2014.

Hong Kong’s shares lagged behind global indexes, with the Hang Seng ending the year up just 9% after months of clashes between antigovernment demonstrations and police.

“Despite a tricky macro backdrop, it’s been a very, very good year for global markets,’’ said Emma Wall, head of investment analysis at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Many say it’s difficult to pinpoint what exactly could trip up the rally in 2020.

There are a number of uncertainties that investors say they will be watching: the U.S. and China haven’t finalized a trade deal yet, the U.K. is set to leave the European Union at the end of January and President Trump faces reelection next November.

The global economy has also cooled, with factory activity in particular taking a hit around the world this year.

But the level of anxiety that investors say they have about each of these threats seems far more subdued than was the case a year ago.

U.S. stock markets are set to have their best year since 2013. Photo: bryan r smith/Reuters

“The headwinds we experienced earlier in 2019 from the trade wars and potential problems with Brexit—those headwinds have diminished sharply,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist and managing director at MUFG.

Adding to that, fears of a recession in the U.S. have eased, thanks to a resilient labor market and signs of solid consumer spending.

Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal are forecasting the economy will grow around 1.8% in 2020, which would mark a slowdown from prior years but nevertheless extend the longest economic expansion in U.S. history.

“Now that the coast is looking a little bit more clear for the economy, I think it’s okay to embrace risk here at this stage,” Mr. Rupkey said.

Part of what made 2019 remarkable for investors was that gains were strong across stocks, bonds and key commodities, such as oil and gold. Vanguard’s Total Bond Market ETF, for instance, which owns a broad collection of government and corporate bonds, returned 8.9% for investors.

Gold edged up Tuesday and was up around 19% for 2019, headed toward its best year since 2010.

Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com and Anna Hirtenstein at anna.hirtenstein@wsj.com

Copyright ©2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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2019-12-31 14:37:00Z
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Dow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Pauses But Apple Stock Keeps Climbing; TJX, Copart, Dynatrace Near Buys - Investor's Business Daily

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  1. Dow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Pauses But Apple Stock Keeps Climbing; TJX, Copart, Dynatrace Near Buys  Investor's Business Daily
  2. Here are the best and worst Dow and S&P 500 stocks of 2019  MarketWatch
  3. Wall Street likes these Dow stocks the most for 2020  CNBC
  4. Here are Wall Street's favorite stocks for 2020  CNBC
  5. Stock markets ending the year on record highs is great for everyone, not just investors  Washington Examiner
  6. View full coverage on Google News

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2019-12-31 13:10:00Z
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Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Uber, Boeing, Tencent Music, JPMorgan & more - CNBC

Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:

(TME) – Tencent Music is part of a consortium in Universal Music Group from French media conglomerate Vivendi. Universal Music counts Taylor Swift and Lady Gaga among its artists. The deal values Universal Music at about $34 billion.

(BA) – Boeing and Turkish Airlines reached a compensation deal for losses caused by the grounding of Boeing's 737 Max jet. The airline did not specify how much it received, but reports in a Turkish newspaper put the amount at $225 million.

(UBER) – The ride-hailing company and food-delivery service Postmates over a new law that could force the companies to treat their workers as employees rather than independent contractors. The law is set to take effect Wednesday.

(JPM) – The bank is seeking 100% ownership of its futures joint venture in China, according to a Bloomberg report.

(NIO) – Nio is up for a second day, after a Monday surge. The China-based electric car maker saw its stock jump after posting a smaller-than-expected loss and better-than-expected revenue and vehicle deliveries, despite a reduction in China electric vehicle subsidies.

(CLB) – The company cut its fourth-quarter earnings guidance to 37 cents to 38 cents per share from the prior 44 cents to 45 cents. It also said it would slash its quarterly dividend to 25 cents per share from 55 cents a share. The provider of services for the crude oil industry cited challenges in the land-based U.S. oil market, among other factors.

(SINA) – Sina announced a new $500 million share repurchase program. A prior $500 million repurchase program by the China-based online media company expires today.

(OXY) – Occidental sold a variety of assets including the former Anadarko Petroleum headquarters and a former ConocoPhillips campus to (HHC) for $565 million.

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2019-12-31 12:52:00Z
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Dow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Pauses But Apple Stock Keeps Climbing; TJX, Copart, Dynatrace Near Buys - Investor's Business Daily

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  1. Dow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Pauses But Apple Stock Keeps Climbing; TJX, Copart, Dynatrace Near Buys  Investor's Business Daily
  2. Historic year closes, home price data and consumer confidence: 3 things to watch for on Tuesday  CNBC
  3. Here are the best and worst Dow and S&P 500 stocks of 2019  MarketWatch
  4. Wall Street slips from record levels as traders book profits  Yahoo News
  5. Dow drops nearly 200 points on second-to-last day of trading, trimming big gain for the year  CNBC
  6. View full coverage on Google News

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2019-12-31 13:02:00Z
52780529590160

Dow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Pauses But Apple Stock Keeps Climbing; TJX, Copart, Dynatrace Near Buys - Investor's Business Daily

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  1. Dow Jones Futures: Stock Market Rally Pauses But Apple Stock Keeps Climbing; TJX, Copart, Dynatrace Near Buys  Investor's Business Daily
  2. Here are the best and worst Dow and S&P 500 stocks of 2019  MarketWatch
  3. Historic year closes, home price data and consumer confidence: 3 things to watch for on Tuesday  CNBC
  4. Trump enters 2020 on a bull market high | TheHill  The Hill
  5. Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Extremes Signal Pullback Likely Near  DailyFX
  6. View full coverage on Google News

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2019-12-31 11:59:00Z
52780529590160

Jeff Bezos lost $10B in 2019 amid divorce, but still richest man - Business Insider

  • Amazon’s founder and CEO, Jeff Bezos, suffered a decline of more than $10 billion in his net worth in 2019, according to Bloomberg.
  • The loss is mainly down to his divorce from MacKenzie Bezos, which led to a settlement in which she received Amazon stock worth more than $35 billion.
  • MacKenzie Bezos became one of the world’s wealthiest women after the split.
  • Overall 2019 has been a good year for the incredibly wealthy. Only two of the 50 wealthiest billionaires suffered a net loss.
  • Visit Business Insider’s home page for more stories.

Amazon’s founder and CEO, Jeff Bezos, lost more money than almost any other billionaire in 2019, but he remained the richest person in the world.

At $115 billion, Bezos‘ net worth is down $10.1 billion this year, according to Bloomberg’s Billionaire’s Index as of Tuesday.

The decline was the second-largest on the list, just smaller than that suffered by the media mogul Rupert Murdoch, whose net worth more than halved. It fell by $10.2 billion, to $7.8 billion from $18 billion.

Bezos‘ loss can be accounted for by the cost of his separation from MacKenzie Bezos, his wife of 26 years. The two announced their separation in January.

Jeff Bezos 2019 IAF Award

Foto: Bezos after receiving an award from the International Astronautical Federation at an event in Washington, DC, on October 22.sourceMANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images

In a divorce settlement finalized in July, the couple divided their Amazon shares, with 75% going to Jeff Bezos and 25% to MacKenzie Bezos.

The settlement took an enormous chunk out of Bezos‘ reported net worth, which peaked in excess of $165 billion in late 2018, according to Bloomberg.

It also created a new, independent billionaire in MacKenzie Bezos, who ended the year in 25th place on the Bloomberg index with $37.1 billion to her name. She is the fifth-richest woman on the list.

Such is the scale of Amazon’s and Bezos‘ wealth that the notionally private development of their marriage ending was ultimately one of the most significant financial events of 2019.

The $37.1 billion wealth transfer between the Bezoses is a little larger than the entire $35.1 billion gross domestic product of Latvia, an Eastern European nation with about 1.9 million inhabitants.

According to Bloomberg’s index, 2019 was overall a good year for the extremely wealthy.

Only two people in the top 50 ⁠- Jeff Bezos and the Chinese real-estate billionaire Hui Ka Yan ⁠- experienced a decline in their net worth.

Tech moguls featured prominently among the winners, with sharp increases for Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg (up $26 billion), the Microsoft cofounder Bill Gates (up $22.7 billion), and the Google founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin (up $13.3 billion and $12.8 billion).

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2019-12-31 10:20:17Z
CAIiEKPSjZ2hJjP8Y6eNO0x-U0EqLggEKiUIACIbd3d3LmJ1c2luZXNzaW5zaWRlci5jb20vc2FpKgQICjAMMNfv5wE

The Mustang Mach-E's extended range battery is a popular option - Engadget

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While Ford hasn't revealed exactly how many people are lining up to pre-order the Mustang Mach-E, the company has released some stats showing which versions people prefer so far. Apparently battery life is important to buyers of the sporty electric SUV, with 80 percent opting for versions with the long range battery that lets it go up to an estimated 300 miles between charges. The dual-motor all-wheel-drive version is also popular, at 55 percent of orders, and 30 percent of those interested have opted for the GT trim level.

The First Edition vehicles are already sold out, but, as Autoblog notes, if you find the Mustang-branded crossover appealing, you can order one with $500 down. You'll have to wait until 2021 for a GT, but other trim levels may ship before the end of this year.

Gallery: Ford Mustang Mach-E unveil | 11 Photos

All products recommended by Engadget are selected by our editorial team, independent of our parent company. Some of our stories include affiliate links. If you buy something through one of these links, we may earn an affiliate commission.
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2019-12-31 09:22:10Z
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Senin, 30 Desember 2019

Chick-fil-A viral video highlights chain's customer service - Business Insider

A viral video reveals how Chick-fil-A has used superior customer service to take over fast food.

Earlier in December, a Chick-fil-A customer posted a video from a location in Wilmington, North Carolina, of an employee named Jeremiah Murrill, 20, taking orders outside in the drive-thru lane with energy and enthusiasm.

„Amazing ordering, everyone,“ Murrill tells the customers.

In the past two weeks, the video has been viewed more than 200,000 times. Local news outlets and CNN picked up the story, helping build Murrill’s reputation as a local celebrity.

Murrill has been working at Chick-fil-A for three years and would love to become an operator running his own location, a Chick-fil-A representative told Business Insider.

„I’m so humbled by the attention this video is receiving,“ Murrill said in a statement to Business Insider. „I just want to help people in any way I can, so seeing someone’s day transformed by a little kindness is amazing.“

Chick-fil-A has dominated fast-food industry customer-service rankings. This year, it claimed the No. 1 spot on the American Customer Satisfaction Index’s annual restaurant report for the fourth year in a row.

Chick-fil-A has strict policies designed to promote customer service, such as having employees say „my pleasure“ instead of „you’re welcome.“ The company’s unique franchise system allows operators to be hands-on in locations, with each operator typically limited to running a single restaurant.

„Little things like being told ‚please‘ and ‚thank you‘ – it feels like you’re appreciated as a customer and a human being at Chick-fil-A,“ Mark Kalinowski, the founder of Kalinowski Equity Research, told Business Insider earlier this year.

„And especially in today’s very complex world, it’s just very nice to be able to go to a place where you feel appreciated,“ Kalinowski continued.

Superior customer service has helped drive massive growth at Chick-fil-A over the past decade. The company went from $3.2 billion in systemwide sales at the end of 2009 to $10.5 billion at the end of 2018, making Chick-fil-A the third-largest fast-food chain in America.

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2019-12-30 18:30:13Z
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Tesla to miss delivery forecast and stock to get cut in half, Cowen says - CNBC

Tesla CEO Elon Musk unveils the Cybertruck at the TeslaDesign Studio in Hawthorne, Calif. The cracked window glass occurred during a demonstration on the strength of the glass.

Robert Hanashiro | USA TODAY | Reuters

Tesla will deliver fewer vehicles than the low end of its guidance for the year and its stock may suffer, according to Cowen.

The automaker is poised to deliver between 95,000 and 101,000 vehicles for its fourth quarter, Cowen said in a note to clients on Monday. This would put deliveries for the year at roughly 356,000, below the 360,000 to 400,000 range the company has given as a guidance. 

The new analyst projection comes as the first Tesla Model 3s built in Shanghai are being delivered. China is seen as a large growth opportunity for Tesla, and the U.S.-based electric car company is delivering cars from the new factory less than a year after breaking ground to build it. 

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2019-12-30 13:00:00Z
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Secure Act includes one critical tax change ‘that will send estate planners reeling’ - MarketWatch

On Dec. 20, President Trump signed into law the awkwardly named Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act (Secure Act). The new law is mainly intended to expand opportunities for individuals to increase their retirement savings. But it also includes one big anti-taxpayer change that will send some financially comfortable folks and their estate planners reeling. The Secure Act includes some other important tax changes that have nothing to do with retirement.

In several installments, MarketWatch will cover the changes that are most likely to affect individuals and small businesses.

No more age restriction on traditional IRA contributions

Before the Secure Act, you could not make contributions to a traditional IRA for the year during which you reached age 70 1/2 or any later year. (There’s no age restriction on Roth IRA contributions, and the Secure Act does not change that.)

New law: For tax years beginning after 2019, the Secure Act repeals the age restriction on contributions to traditional IRAs. So, for tax years beginning in 2020 and beyond, you can make contributions after reaching age 70½. That’s the good news.

Key point: The deadline for making a contribution for your 2019 tax year is April 15, 2020, but you cannot make a contribution for 2019 if you were age 70 1/2 or older as of Dec. 31, 2019. Thanks to the new law, you can make contributions for tax year 2020 and beyond.

Side effect for IRA qualified charitable distributions

After reaching age 70 1/2, you can make qualified charitable contributions of up to $100,000 per year directly from your IRA(s). These contributions are called qualified charitable distributions, or QCDs. Effective for QCDs made in a tax year beginning after 2019, the $100,000 QCD limit for that year is reduced (but not below zero) by the aggregate amount of deductions allowed for prior tax years due to the aforementioned Secure Act change. In other words, deductible IRA contributions made for the year you reach age 70 1/2 and later years can reduce your annual QCD allowance.

New age-72 start date for required minimum distributions from IRAs and retirement plans

Before the Secure Act, the initial required minimum distributions was for the year you turned age 70 1/2. You could postpone taking that initial payout until as late as April 1 of the year after you reached the magic age.

You generally must begin taking annual required minimum distributions (RMDs) from tax-favored retirement accounts (traditional IRAs, SEP accounts, 401(k) accounts, and the like) and pay the resulting income tax hit. However, you need not take RMDs from any Roth IRA(s) set up in your name.

Before the Secure Act, the initial RMD was for the year you turned age 70 1/2. You could postpone taking that initial payout until as late as April 1 of the year after you reached the magic age. If you chose that option, however, you must take two RMDs in that year: one by the April 1 deadline (the RMD for the previous year) plus another by Dec. 31 (the RMD for the current year). For each subsequent year, you must take another RMD by Dec. 31. Under an exception, if you’re still working as an employee after reaching the magic age and you don’t own over 5% of the outfit that employs you, you can postpone taking RMDs from your employer’s plan(s) until after you’ve retired.

New law: The Secure Act increases the age after which you must begin taking RMDs from 70 1/2 to 72. But this favorable development only applies to folks who reach 70 1/2 after 2019. So, if you turned 70 1/2 in 2019 or earlier, you’re unaffected. But if you will turn 70 1/2 in 2020 or later, you won’t need to start taking RMDs until after attaining age 72. As under prior law, if you’re still working after reaching the magic age and you don’t own over 5% of the employer, you can postpone taking RMDs from your employer’s plan(s) until after you’ve retired.

Key point: If you turned 70 1/2 in 2019 and have not yet taken your initial RMD for that year, you must take that RMD, which is for the 2019 tax year, by no later than 4/1/20 or face a 50% penalty on the shortfall. You must then take your second RMD, which is for the 2020 tax year, by Dec. 31, 2020.

Now for the bad news

Stricter rules for post-death required minimum distributions curtail ‘Stretch IRAs’: The Secure Act requires most non-spouse IRA and retirement plan beneficiaries to drain inherited accounts within 10 years after the account owner’s death. This is a big anti-taxpayer change for financially comfortable folks who don’t need their IRA balances for their own retirement years but want to use those balances to set up a long-term tax-advantaged deal for their heirs.

Before the Secure Act, the required minimum distribution (RMD) rules allowed you as a non-spouse beneficiary to gradually drain the substantial IRA that you inherited from, say, your grandfather over your IRS-defined life expectancy.

For example, say you inherited Grandpa Dave’s $750,000 Roth IRA when you were 40 years old. The current IRS life expectancy table says you have 43.6 years to live. You must start taking annual RMDs from the inherited account by dividing the account balance as of the end of the previous year by your remaining life expectancy as of the end of the current year.

So, your first RMD would equal the account balance as of the previous year-end divided by 43.6, which would amount to only 2.3% of the balance. Your second RMD would equal the account balance as of the end of the following year divided by 42.6, which translates to only 2.35% of the balance. And so, on until you drain the inherited Roth account.

As you can see, the pre-Secure Act RMD regime allowed you to keep the inherited account open for many years and reap the tax advantages for those many years. With an IRA, this is called the “Stretch IRA” strategy. The Stretch IRA strategy is particularly advantageous for inherited Roth IRAs, because the income those accounts produce can grow and be withdrawn federal-income-tax-free. So, under the pre-Secure Act rules, a Stretch Roth IRA could give you some protection from future federal income tax rate increases for many years. That’s the upside.

This development will have some well-off folks and their estate planning advisers scrambling for months (at least) to react.

Unfortunately, the Secure Act’s 10-year rule puts a damper on the Stretch IRA strategy. It can still work, but only in the limited circumstances when the 10-year rule does not apply (explained below). This development will have some well-off folks and their estate planning advisers scrambling for months (at least) to react. That’s especially true if you’ve set up a “conduit” or “pass-through” trust as the beneficiary of what you intended to be a Stretch IRA for your heirs.

Also see: Inheriting a parent’s IRA or 401(k). Here’s how the Secure Act could create a disaster

Key point: According to the Congressional Research Service, the lid put on the Stretch IRA strategy by the new law has the potential to generate about $15.7 billion in tax revenue over the next decade. 

Effective date: The Secure Act’s anti-taxpayer RMD change is generally effective for RMDs taken from accounts whose owners die after 2019. The RMD rules for accounts inherited from owners who died before 2020 are unchanged.

Who is affected?

The Secure Act’s anti-taxpayer RMD change will not affect account owners who drain their accounts during their retirement years. And account beneficiaries who want to quickly drain inherited accounts will be unaffected. The change will only affect certain non-spouse beneficiaries who want to keep inherited accounts open for as long as possible to reap the tax advantages. In other words, “rich” folks with lots of financial self-discipline.

The Secure Act’s anti-taxpayer RMD change also will not affect accounts inherited by a so-called eligible designated beneficiary. An eligible designated beneficiary is: (1) the surviving spouse of the deceased account owner, (2) a minor child of the deceased account owner, (3) a beneficiary who is no more than 10 years younger than the deceased account owner, or (4) a chronically-ill individual (as defined).

If your grandfather dies in 2020 or later, you can only keep the big Roth IRA that you inherit from him open for 10 years after his departure.

Under the exception for eligible designated beneficiaries, RMDs from the inherited account can generally be taken over the life or life expectancy of the eligible designated beneficiary, beginning with the year following the year of the account owner’s death. Same as before the Secure Act.

So, the Stretch IRA strategy can still work for an eligible designated beneficiary, such as an account owner’s much-younger spouse or recently born tot. Other non-spouse beneficiaries (such as an adult child, grandchild, niece or nephew) will get slammed by the new 10-year account liquidation requirement. So, if your grandfather dies in 2020 or later, you can only keep the big Roth IRA that you inherit from him open for 10 years after his departure. Bummer!

10-year rule specifics: When it applies, the new 10-year rule generally applies regardless of whether the account owner dies before or after his or her RMD required beginning date (RBD). Thanks to another Secure Act change explained earlier, the RMD rules do not kick in until age 72 for account owners who attain age 70 1/2 after 2019. So, the RBD for those folks will be April 1 of the year following the year they attain age 72.

Following the death of an eligible designated beneficiary, the account balance must be distributed within 10 years.

When an account owner’s child reaches the age of majority under applicable state law, the account balance must be distributed within 10 years after that date.

The bottom line: As you can see, the Secure Act includes both good and bad news for folks who don’t enjoy paying taxes. The new law includes more important tax changes that I’ve not covered here.

3 examples of new RMD rules for non-spousal retirement account beneficiaries

Example 1: Harold dies in 2020 and leaves his IRA to designated beneficiary Hermione, his sister, who was born eight years after Harold. Hermione is an eligible designated beneficiary. Therefore, the balance in the inherited IRA can be paid out over her life expectancy. If Hermione dies before the account is exhausted, the remaining balance must be paid out within 10 years after her death.

Example 2: Ingrid dies in 2020 and leaves her IRA to designated beneficiary Ignacio, her brother, who was born 12 years after Ingrid. Ignacio is not an eligible designated beneficiary because he is more than 10 years younger than Ingrid. The balance in the inherited IRA must be paid out within 10 years after Ingrid’s death.

Example 3: Jerry dies in 2020 at age 85. He lives his $2 million Roth IRA to his 24-year-old spouse Jasmine. Since Jasmine is an eligible designated beneficiary, the new 10-year rule does not apply to her. As a surviving spouse, she can retitle the inherited Roth account in her own name. Then she will not have to take any RMDs for as long as she lives. So, this is a situation where the Stretch IRA strategy still works well (although not quite as well as before the Secure Act for reasons that are too complicated to explain here).

Example 4: Kendrick dies on Dec. 15, 2019. He left his IRA to designated beneficiary Kelli, his beloved niece, who is 30 years younger than Kendrick. Because Kendrick died before 2020, the balance in the inherited IRA can be paid out over Kelli’s life expectancy under the pre-Secure Act RMD rules. If Kelli dies on or after 1/1/20, the balance in the IRA must be paid out to her designated beneficiary or beneficiaries or the heir(s) who inherit the account within 10 years after Kelli’s death.

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2019-12-30 14:07:00Z
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Tesla delivers first China-made Model 3s to its own workers - CNN

Fifteen employees of the electric carmaker become the first customers to receive Model 3s produced in China during a ceremony at the factory on Monday, according to Tesla. Wang Hao, general manager for Tesla China, said during the event that more cars will be delivered to workers over the next couple of days before other customers begin receiving them next month.
How Tesla's risky bet on making cars in China could pay off
The Shanghai plant was built in just 10 months and began trial production in October. The first batch of cars to roll off the assembly line began making their way to Tesla's dozens of experience centers in China last month, where potential customers were given the opportunity to test drive them. Tesla has been taking orders for Model 3s made in China since October 25.
"This is a happy gathering," the company wrote on Weibo, China's Twitter-like platform, where it also live-streamed the Shanghai event. "The delivery of China-made Model 3s to our beloved workers is to reward everyone's hard work this year."
One Tesla (TSLA) employee who received a car even proposed to his girlfriend at the ceremony. He lifted the car's hood, revealing flowers underneath, and said he wanted to give the vehicle to his girlfriend as a "gift" before asking her to marry him. (She appeared to say yes.)
An employee, left, proposes to his girlfriend with his newly delivered Tesla Model 3 in Shanghai on Monday.
Elon Musk's carmaker built the Shanghai factory to grow its business, pump out more cars and better target Chinese customers. The facility could also push production costs lower.
Right now, a Shanghai-built Model 3 has a starting price of 355,800 yuan ($51,000), about 2% cheaper than an imported model. Buyers of the locally made cars can also take advantage of government subsidies of nearly 25,000 yuan ($3,578), and are exempt from a car purchase tax, according to the company.
Tesla isn't new to the Chinese market — it's been delivering cars to people there since 2014. But Musk has touted the new factory as a "template for future growth." The company has said it wants to eventually make 500,000 cars a year in Shanghai.
It's also the first Tesla production plant built outside the United States. Musk recently announced that the company has plans to build another one in Berlin, taking the great electric car race to the manufacturing heart of Europe.
China, meanwhile, is the world's largest car market, though sales are slowing as the country grapples with broader economic troubles.

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2019-12-30 11:16:00Z
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Secure Act includes one critical tax change ‘that will send estate planners reeling’ - MarketWatch

On Dec. 20, President Trump signed into law the awkwardly named Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act (Secure Act). The new law is mainly intended to expand opportunities for individuals to increase their retirement savings. But it also includes one big anti-taxpayer change that will send some financially comfortable folks and their estate planners reeling. The Secure Act includes some other important tax changes that have nothing to do with retirement.

In several installments, MarketWatch will cover the changes that are most likely to affect individuals and small businesses.

No more age restriction on traditional IRA contributions

Before the Secure Act, you could not make contributions to a traditional IRA for the year during which you reached age 70 1/2 or any later year. (There’s no age restriction on Roth IRA contributions, and the Secure Act does not change that.)

New law: For tax years beginning after 2019, the Secure Act repeals the age restriction on contributions to traditional IRAs. So, for tax years beginning in 2020 and beyond, you can make contributions after reaching age 70½. That’s the good news.

Key point: The deadline for making a contribution for your 2019 tax year is April 15, 2020, but you cannot make a contribution for 2019 if you were age 70 1/2 or older as of Dec. 31, 2019. Thanks to the new law, you can make contributions for tax year 2020 and beyond.

Side effect for IRA qualified charitable distributions

After reaching age 70 1/2, you can make qualified charitable contributions of up to $100,000 per year directly from your IRA(s). These contributions are called qualified charitable distributions, or QCDs. Effective for QCDs made in a tax year beginning after 2019, the $100,000 QCD limit for that year is reduced (but not below zero) by the aggregate amount of deductions allowed for prior tax years due to the aforementioned Secure Act change. In other words, deductible IRA contributions made for the year you reach age 70 1/2 and later years can reduce your annual QCD allowance.

New age-72 start date for required minimum distributions from IRAs and retirement plans

Before the Secure Act, the initial required minimum distributions was for the year you turned age 70 1/2. You could postpone taking that initial payout until as late as April 1 of the year after you reached the magic age.

You generally must begin taking annual required minimum distributions (RMDs) from tax-favored retirement accounts (traditional IRAs, SEP accounts, 401(k) accounts, and the like) and pay the resulting income tax hit. However, you need not take RMDs from any Roth IRA(s) set up in your name.

Before the Secure Act, the initial RMD was for the year you turned age 70 1/2. You could postpone taking that initial payout until as late as April 1 of the year after you reached the magic age. If you chose that option, however, you must take two RMDs in that year: one by the April 1 deadline (the RMD for the previous year) plus another by Dec. 31 (the RMD for the current year). For each subsequent year, you must take another RMD by Dec. 31. Under an exception, if you’re still working as an employee after reaching the magic age and you don’t own over 5% of the outfit that employs you, you can postpone taking RMDs from your employer’s plan(s) until after you’ve retired.

New law: The Secure Act increases the age after which you must begin taking RMDs from 70 1/2 to 72. But this favorable development only applies to folks who reach 70 1/2 after 2019. So, if you turned 70 1/2 in 2019 or earlier, you’re unaffected. But if you will turn 70 1/2 in 2020 or later, you won’t need to start taking RMDs until after attaining age 72. As under prior law, if you’re still working after reaching the magic age and you don’t own over 5% of the employer, you can postpone taking RMDs from your employer’s plan(s) until after you’ve retired.

Key point: If you turned 70 1/2 in 2019 and have not yet taken your initial RMD for that year, you must take that RMD, which is for the 2019 tax year, by no later than 4/1/20 or face a 50% penalty on the shortfall. You must then take your second RMD, which is for the 2020 tax year, by Dec. 31, 2020.

Now for the bad news

Stricter rules for post-death required minimum distributions curtail ‘Stretch IRAs’: The Secure Act requires most non-spouse IRA and retirement plan beneficiaries to drain inherited accounts within 10 years after the account owner’s death. This is a big anti-taxpayer change for financially comfortable folks who don’t need their IRA balances for their own retirement years but want to use those balances to set up a long-term tax-advantaged deal for their heirs.

Before the Secure Act, the required minimum distribution (RMD) rules allowed you as a non-spouse beneficiary to gradually drain the substantial IRA that you inherited from, say, your grandfather over your IRS-defined life expectancy.

For example, say you inherited Grandpa Dave’s $750,000 Roth IRA when you were 40 years old. The current IRS life expectancy table says you have 43.6 years to live. You must start taking annual RMDs from the inherited account by dividing the account balance as of the end of the previous year by your remaining life expectancy as of the end of the current year.

So, your first RMD would equal the account balance as of the previous year-end divided by 43.6, which would amount to only 2.3% of the balance. Your second RMD would equal the account balance as of the end of the following year divided by 42.6, which translates to only 2.35% of the balance. And so, on until you drain the inherited Roth account.

As you can see, the pre-Secure Act RMD regime allowed you to keep the inherited account open for many years and reap the tax advantages for those many years. With an IRA, this is called the “Stretch IRA” strategy. The Stretch IRA strategy is particularly advantageous for inherited Roth IRAs, because the income those accounts produce can grow and be withdrawn federal-income-tax-free. So, under the pre-Secure Act rules, a Stretch Roth IRA could give you some protection from future federal income tax rate increases for many years. That’s the upside.

This development will have some well-off folks and their estate planning advisers scrambling for months (at least) to react.

Unfortunately, the Secure Act’s 10-year rule puts a damper on the Stretch IRA strategy. It can still work, but only in the limited circumstances when the 10-year rule does not apply (explained below). This development will have some well-off folks and their estate planning advisers scrambling for months (at least) to react. That’s especially true if you’ve set up a “conduit” or “pass-through” trust as the beneficiary of what you intended to be a Stretch IRA for your heirs.

Also see: Inheriting a parent’s IRA or 401(k). Here’s how the Secure Act could create a disaster

Key point: According to the Congressional Research Service, the lid put on the Stretch IRA strategy by the new law has the potential to generate about $15.7 billion in tax revenue over the next decade. 

Effective date: The Secure Act’s anti-taxpayer RMD change is generally effective for RMDs taken from accounts whose owners die after 2019. The RMD rules for accounts inherited from owners who died before 2020 are unchanged.

Who is affected?

The Secure Act’s anti-taxpayer RMD change will not affect account owners who drain their accounts during their retirement years. And account beneficiaries who want to quickly drain inherited accounts will be unaffected. The change will only affect certain non-spouse beneficiaries who want to keep inherited accounts open for as long as possible to reap the tax advantages. In other words, “rich” folks with lots of financial self-discipline.

The Secure Act’s anti-taxpayer RMD change also will not affect accounts inherited by a so-called eligible designated beneficiary. An eligible designated beneficiary is: (1) the surviving spouse of the deceased account owner, (2) a minor child of the deceased account owner, (3) a beneficiary who is no more than 10 years younger than the deceased account owner, or (4) a chronically-ill individual (as defined).

If your grandfather dies in 2020 or later, you can only keep the big Roth IRA that you inherit from him open for 10 years after his departure.

Under the exception for eligible designated beneficiaries, RMDs from the inherited account can generally be taken over the life or life expectancy of the eligible designated beneficiary, beginning with the year following the year of the account owner’s death. Same as before the Secure Act.

So, the Stretch IRA strategy can still work for an eligible designated beneficiary, such as an account owner’s much-younger spouse or recently born tot. Other non-spouse beneficiaries (such as an adult child, grandchild, niece or nephew) will get slammed by the new 10-year account liquidation requirement. So, if your grandfather dies in 2020 or later, you can only keep the big Roth IRA that you inherit from him open for 10 years after his departure. Bummer!

10-year rule specifics: When it applies, the new 10-year rule generally applies regardless of whether the account owner dies before or after his or her RMD required beginning date (RBD). Thanks to another Secure Act change explained earlier, the RMD rules do not kick in until age 72 for account owners who attain age 70 1/2 after 2019. So, the RBD for those folks will be April 1 of the year following the year they attain age 72.

Following the death of an eligible designated beneficiary, the account balance must be distributed within 10 years.

When an account owner’s child reaches the age of majority under applicable state law, the account balance must be distributed within 10 years after that date.

The bottom line: As you can see, the Secure Act includes both good and bad news for folks who don’t enjoy paying taxes. The new law includes more important tax changes that I’ve not covered here.

3 examples of new RMD rules for non-spousal retirement account beneficiaries

Example 1: Harold dies in 2020 and leaves his IRA to designated beneficiary Hermione, his sister, who was born eight years after Harold. Hermione is an eligible designated beneficiary. Therefore, the balance in the inherited IRA can be paid out over her life expectancy. If Hermione dies before the account is exhausted, the remaining balance must be paid out within 10 years after her death.

Example 2: Ingrid dies in 2020 and leaves her IRA to designated beneficiary Ignacio, her brother, who was born 12 years after Ingrid. Ignacio is not an eligible designated beneficiary because he is more than 10 years younger than Ingrid. The balance in the inherited IRA must be paid out within 10 years after Ingrid’s death.

Example 3: Jerry dies in 2020 at age 85. He lives his $2 million Roth IRA to his 24-year-old spouse Jasmine. Since Jasmine is an eligible designated beneficiary, the new 10-year rule does not apply to her. As a surviving spouse, she can retitle the inherited Roth account in her own name. Then she will not have to take any RMDs for as long as she lives. So, this is a situation where the Stretch IRA strategy still works well (although not quite as well as before the Secure Act for reasons that are too complicated to explain here).

Example 4: Kendrick dies on Dec. 15, 2019. He left his IRA to designated beneficiary Kelli, his beloved niece, who is 30 years younger than Kendrick. Because Kendrick died before 2020, the balance in the inherited IRA can be paid out over Kelli’s life expectancy under the pre-Secure Act RMD rules. If Kelli dies on or after 1/1/20, the balance in the IRA must be paid out to her designated beneficiary or beneficiaries or the heir(s) who inherit the account within 10 years after Kelli’s death.

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2019-12-30 10:51:00Z
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The Decade of Debt: big deals, bigger risk - Reuters

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Whatever nickname ultimately gets attached to the now-ending Twenty-tens, on Wall Street and across Corporate America it arguably should be tagged as the “Decade of Debt.”

FILE PHOTO: A picture illustration shows a $100 banknote laying on $1 banknotes, taken in Warsaw, January 13, 2011. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo

With interest rates locked in at rock-bottom levels courtesy of the Federal Reserve’s easy-money policy after the financial crisis, companies found it cheaper than ever to tap the corporate bond market to load up on cash.

Bond issuance by American companies topped $1 trillion in each year of the decade that began on Jan. 1, 2010, and ends on Tuesday at midnight, an unmatched run, according to SIFMA, the securities industry trade group.

In all, corporate bond debt outstanding rocketed more than 50% and will soon top $10 trillion, versus about $6 trillion at the end of the previous decade. The largest U.S. companies - those in the S&P 500 Index .SPX - account for roughly 70% of that, nearly $7 trillion.

Graphic: Long-term debt for S&P 500 here

What did they do with all that money?

It’s a truism in corporate finance that cash needs to be either “earning or returning” - that is, being put to use growing the business or getting sent back to shareholders.

As it happens, American companies did a lot more returning than earning with their cash during the ‘Tens.

In the first year of the decade, companies spent roughly $60 billion more on dividends and buying back their own shares than on new facilities, equipment and technology. By last year that gap had mushroomed to more than $600 billion, and the gap in 2019 could be just as large, especially given the constraint on capital spending from the trade war.

The buy-back boom is credited with helping to fuel a decade-long bull market in U.S. equities.

Graphic: S&P 500 shareholder payouts here

Meanwhile, capital expenditure growth has been choppy at best over 10 years. This is despite a massive fiscal stimulus package by the Trump administration, marked by the reduction in the corporate tax rate to 21% from 35%, that it had predicted would boost business spending.

Graphic: Capital expenditure of S&P 500 here

One byproduct of stock buy-backs is they make companies look more profitable by Wall Street’s favorite performance metric - earnings per share - than they would otherwise appear to be.

With companies purchasing more and more of their own stock, S&P 500 EPS has roughly doubled in 10 years. Meanwhile net profit has risen by half that, and far more erratically.

Graphic: S&P 500 earnings per share here

Graphic: Reported earnings for S&P 500 here

The corporate bond market has not only gotten bigger, it has gotten riskier.

With investors clamoring for yield in a low-rate world, debt rated only a notch or two above high-yield - or junk - bond levels now accounts for more than half of the investment-grade market, versus around a third at the dawn of the decade.

Graphic: BBB/Baa issuance spikes here

Reporting by Joshua Franklin and Kate Duguid in New York; Editing by Dan Burns and Dan Grebler

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2019-12-30 06:19:00Z
CBMidmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnJldXRlcnMuY29tL2FydGljbGUvdXMtZ2xvYmFsLW1hcmtldHMtZGVjYWRlLWNyZWRpdC90aGUtZGVjYWRlLW9mLWRlYnQtYmlnLWRlYWxzLWJpZ2dlci1yaXNrLWlkVVNLQk4xWVkwOVnSATRodHRwczovL21vYmlsZS5yZXV0ZXJzLmNvbS9hcnRpY2xlL2FtcC9pZFVTS0JOMVlZMDlZ

Minggu, 29 Desember 2019

What Putting $10,000 in These Assets Would Have Returned in 2019 - Bloomberg

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What Putting $10,000 in These Assets Would Have Returned in 2019  Bloomberg
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2019-12-29 16:01:00Z
CAIiEBv3LXvfnuGprQMkMvSqmTYqGQgEKhAIACoHCAow4uzwCjCF3bsCMIrOrwM

Beware of 2020's Stealth Social Security Cut - The Motley Fool

Many people spend years looking forward to turning 62. That's because 62 is the first age at which most workers can claim retirement benefits from Social Security, and a large fraction of older Americans choose to start getting monthly checks from Social Security as soon as possible.

If you're going to be eligible for Social Security for the first time in 2020, however, there's something you need to know. Under laws that took effect more than 35 years ago, the benefits that you'll receive will be less than what people in a similar position in 2019 received. That's because lawmakers back then dealt with potential financial difficulties for the program by instituting new rules that effectively reduced how much those hitting early retirement age will get from Social Security.

What lawmakers did to take away benefits now

Social Security has always been a dangerous issue to discuss in Washington, and lawmakers in the early 1980s knew that they were entering a potential minefield. Yet they also needed to ensure the long-term financial security of the program. As part of a compromise, Congress agreed to raise the full retirement age, which at the time was 65.

Two Social Security cards on top of a $100 bill.

Image source: Getty Images.

However, the provisions didn't take effect immediately. The intent of waiting was to ensure that those who were close to retirement wouldn't get punished by the law changes at a time at which it was too late for them to do anything about it.

Instead, increases to the full retirement age got implemented on a delayed basis. It went rose from 65 in two-month increments for those born between 1938 and 1942, and stayed at 66 for those born between 1943 and 1954. More recently, another set of two-month incremental increases began a few years ago for those born in 1955. Those increases will continue until those born in 1960 and later have a full retirement age of 67.

What that means for those turning 62 in 2020 is that their full retirement age will be 66 and eight months. That's up two months from the full retirement age of 66 and six months for those who turned 62 in 2019.

Just how much money are new Social Security recipients losing?

The consequences of full retirement age rising by two months aren't immense, which is why it's fair to characterize the move as a stealth Social Security cut. Over time, though, the slight reductions will add up.

As an example, say that you're turning 62 in 2020 and were an above-average earner throughout your career, therefore qualifying for a full retirement monthly benefit of $1,800 from Social Security. Because your full retirement age is 66 and eight months, retiring at 62 means that you're getting your benefits 56 months early. That will result in your getting a Social Security check each month equal to 71 2/3% of your full retirement amount, or $1,290.

However, someone who turned 62 in 2019 and had the same earnings history and full retirement age benefit would receive slightly more. Because the full retirement age applying here was 66 and six months, claiming at 62 is just 54 months early. The 2019 retiree got 72 1/2% of their full retirement monthly benefit, or $1,305. That's $15 per month higher.

You can't just wait it out

If you think you can avoid the problem by holding off longer before claiming your Social Security benefits, think again. The change in full retirement age affects your benefits no matter when you claim.

For example, say you wait until age 70 to claim. You'll get 40 months' worth of delayed retirement credits, which will boost your check by 26 2/3%. The monthly check will be $2,280. However, for the person who turned 62 in 2019 instead of 2020, the increase would be slightly greater, with 42 months adding up to a 28% boost. That makes the corresponding monthly check $2,304 -- $24 higher every month.

Cuts will continue

Those turning 62 in 2021 and 2022 will also have to deal with this Social Security cut, until the full retirement age finally maxes out at 67. However, some policy makers believe that further increases to Social Security's retirement age could be forthcoming. Staying aware of them is critical to make sure that you don't get any nasty Social Security  surprises.

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2019-12-29 14:03:00Z
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